Well, I would say I am in a third group: I've been using AI for months, and I think it's very good and useful at some things, but it still sucks at others. In particular, I've found it very useful to generate boilerplate and UI. But when it comes to complicated logic or working with large codebases... It's still quite lackluster :/. AI has saved me many hours of work, but I've also wasted some trying to make it do something it just isn't capable of (though overall I would agree it's saved me time).

Having said that, I would agree that things are changing. And maybe some years (or even months!) from now, it'll really be the all-capable assistant that you say it is. But many people have been saying this for months, and I still keep running against its limitations. We'll see.