The 2016 Presidential race has plenty of candidates. The front runner is Hillary Clinton, and for a while it seemed like no one was going to challenge her for the Democrat nomination. She now has some competition, and I wondered what Tynan's readers think of our choices.
My personal favorite candidates are the following:
1. Rand Paul (Republican): Liberty, less government, End the wars, End being the policeman of the world, balanced budget, pay down debt
-I also like Dr. Ben Carson.
2. Jim Webb (Democrat): Get us out of Middle East wars, balance budget, intelligent decision maker that doesn't cow-tow to Lobbyist and political friends.
Interesting characters in the race:
Donald Trump... Supposedly has a net worth of $9 Billion. Says what he thinks and doesn't care if it hurts people's feelings. He's definitely NOT politically correct. Stated he is willing to spend a couple HUNDRED million dollars on the race.
Bernie Sanders....The anti-rich candidate. He wants to soak the Billionaires with high taxes, and spend the money on government programs. He has offered a lot of free stuff, like make college free. I don't believe that it will work out to be a better society if this happens.
Ted Cruz...Outspoken Texas Senator. Very conservative, although doesn't stay in line with the Republican leadership. Very smart guy...Harvard education. He's a little too religious leaning for me.
Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton....My opinion is that they have been in powerful positions their entire life and will look out for their friends and family too much.
There are over a dozen more candidates that I haven't been impressed enough to comment about.
What's your thoughts?
Update this post: January 17, 2016
Donald Trump dominates news and media coverage. His poll numbers are really good.
I am still going for Rand Paul. Fox Business News didn't allow him to participate in the most recent debate, which I thought was a big mistake on their part. Rand Paul would have been the only one on the stage that has a non-interventionist foreign policy and a budget proposal that actually cuts spending.
1. Ben Carson takes the lead in Iowa for the Republicans.
2. Democrat candidates that have now dropped out: Jim Webb of Virginia and Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island. Webb said he may run as an independent.
3. Hillary Clinton getting grilled in Congressional hearings over Benghazi
My hope is that a lot more of the candidates will start dropping out of the race on the Republican side. I see Bobby Jindal from Louisiana just released a book. I think some of these guys are in the race to promote their name to get book deals, TV/radio talk show deals, or maybe get appointed to a good position in the cabinet.
I'll update my post.
The Republican side has been dominated by Donald Trump. He gets 24/7 news coverage. He sparks a lot of emotion with his statements.
My favorite, Rand Paul, is hanging onto his life boat at this moment. He isn't raising the kind of money he used to raise. Once a few other candidates that are getting big donations drop out of the race, I believe that money will start flowing his direction. And, once the field gets smaller, he will get more air time.
In my opinion, the biggest shifts are yet to come. We still haven't cast a vote, and that will occur in February. I figure that somewhere around the Holiday Season the big PAC money will start spending heavily on negative ads. There are hundreds of millions of dollars in PAC's that are just waiting for the right moment to bring down Trump, Carson and Fiorina. I believe the Republicans that hold office are going to show their support for an establishment candidate once we get down to the nitty gritty. Their ground support can turn out voters to the voting booth, which is different than taking a telephone/online poll.
On the Democrat side, Bernie Sanders has impressed everyone with big crowds and fundraising. He has taken a small lead in N.H. and Iowa over Hillary Clinton.
In my opinion, the PAC's for Hillary will unleash hundreds of millions of dollars of negative ads just before the primaries. She also has too many allies in the Democrat ranks in every state that will pour on their support for her. I predict she will win the Democrat nomination.
Barack Obama campaigned on an antiwar platform and went on to wage an illegal war against Lybia that made Lybia a failed state (https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/libya/2015-02-16/obamas-libya-debacle). I don't see good reasons why Jim Webb should be better than Obama on that regard.On the other hand Bernie Sanders voted against the Iraq war when doing so was politically costly. He can be counted on to actually do something.
Rand Paul commitment to liberty for everyone also doesn't seem to be unshakable. He was against closing Gitmo (http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/apr/17/paul-father-and-son-differ-on-issue-of-closing-gua/?page=all). He voted pro TTIP (http://www.targetliberty.com/2015/05/this-is-how-sellout-politician-votes.html , http://thediplomat.com/2014/10/rand-paul-to-obama-finish-tpp-trade-deal/ )
I think Bernie Sanders is the only candidate who would really stand up to the establishment and produce real change in the right direction. He also won't get everything passed. If you think he's too radical about things like Free College, rest assured he won't get everything of that implemented.
I already know that this post is going to get a lot of negative comments like the religion one. And that's because this "every vote counts" dogma that everyone loves so much shares a lot with religion. It's a belief that's held true without a single bit of compelling evidence, and it's a strong belief.
But before I get into that, let's talk about some other things.
First, Obama won and I'm happy about that. I don't think that he's a superhero like a lot of people do. When I look at his positions I disagree with most of them. I disagree with most of McCain's positions as well.
I was asked for some book recommendations by a reader. His requests on general self-discipline and habit-forming stuff were easy enough to give recommendations on, but he also asked for some good jumping off material to learn about "democracy and other forms of government" - my reply follows -
On government... hmm... I've read a lot on the topic, but no one work stands out to me as must-read stuff. Usually what I do is put a historical era into Wikipedia, do a "wiki walk" for a while, and then google the most interesting people and events for other insights.
You might consider Machiavelli's "The Prince," which was well-read and well-admired by most of the American founding fathers. I just read "Machiavelli, Violence, and History" which is a short essay -
Machiavelli is widely misunderstood because his most striking quotes - like, "Better to be feared than loved" - are taken out of context. The essay I just linked you to talks about violence in pursuit of the common good, things like that which can be a bit of a head-trip.